Mitch Trubisky’s fantasy outlook, ADP, and projection for 2022

One of the more enigmatic players in the NFL and fantasy football, Pittsburgh Steelers QB Mitch Trubisky projects to be a mid-round pick as his 2022 fantasy outlook suggests he could be undervalued this year. With the NFL season and fantasy drafts closing in, what is Trubisky’s fantasy outlook in 2022, and could he prove to be a value at his current ADP?

Fantasy Football Draft Kit Splash Ad
Save your draft. Save your team. Win money.

Mitch Trubisky’s fantasy outlook for 2022

Everybody deserves a second chance, including Trubisky, who now gets a chance to reset his career trajectory. Once a first-round pick, Trubisky is viewed as a quarterback fans feel they cannot trust.

And I don’t necessarily blame them. After a 2018 season that did show promise, completing 66% of his passes with a 2:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio and 3,200 yards, Trubisky looked like a good pick. However, the next two years destroyed that same upside, which left him backing up Josh Allen with the Buffalo Bills last year.

Signed to a two-year deal, Trubisky is getting his next chance to be a starting quarterback in the NFL. Stepping in for the now-retired Ben Roethlisberger, it’s hard to blame Trubisky for what happened in Chicago completely. Matt Nagy is right up there with Adam Gase and Urban Meyer in terms of some of the most universally criticized coaches in recent years.

There were times when Trubisky showed a lot of talent. Even go back to last preseason when we saw them on the field for the Bills, Trubisky operated that offense and moved it down the field on command. We’re seeing a similar pattern in 2022.

Yes, I am well aware I am talking about preseason, but it’s also the most recent ball we have seen out of him. He is now in a better situation than where he was in Chicago. Trubisky has more experience, in my opinion, and might even be worth a spot start here or there along the way for fantasy.

Also, don’t forget, while he’s not Lamar Jackson, Trubisky can move on the ground, as evidenced in 2018 when he rushed nearly 70 times for 420 yards. I would not put him inside the top 20 at his position, but I would have no issue with him as my bye week fill-in for Superflex or 2QB fantasy leagues.

How the Pittsburgh Steelers’ depth chart impacts Mitch Trubisky’s fantasy projection for the season

As of now, all signs point to Trubisky being the starter for 2022. However, he is in a competition with rookie Kenny Pickett for the job. Both have had their moments, but the rookie is not going away and is already winning the hearts of the Steelers’ faithful. The first QB selected in the 2022 NFL Draft, the former Pitt Panther knows how to win at Hein … Acrisure Stadium.

He has the skills to win the job, and it will be interesting to see how long the leash is for Trubisky come any midseason struggles. This is where the value in Trubisky or Pickett is shaky, as there is no guarantee of how many games either will play.

What we do know is that whoever is on the field will have a solid group of playmakers at their disposal. In the backfield is Najee Harris, who not only rushed for 1,200 yards but led the NFL in RB receptions (74), was tied with Austin Ekeler for the most targets (94), and was third in yards. The Steelers will heavily rely on Harris in 2022 to take some of the load off Trubisky or Pickett.

They also have a very talented and young group of pass catchers. Diontae Johnson is one of the best route runners in the NFL and should be the target leader after doing so for the last two years, topping out at 28.5% last season. Chase Claypool is moving into the slot, and given his size at 6’4″, presents a large catch radius and mismatch for both intermediate and contested catches down the field.

Also added in this year’s class are rookies George Pickens and Calvin Austin III. Pickens is a Tier 1 receiver based on talent but slipped a bit after a torn ACL before his 2021 season. However, that did not stop him from returning and helping Groegia win the national championship over Alabama. He has also been the star of training camp, not just for the Steelers but arguably the NFL, with his highlight grabs.

I’ve already moved him above Claypool for fantasy and, at value, he is the Steelers WR I am drafting. Austin, while smaller in stature (5’8″ and 170 pounds), is one of the most explosive players on the field. A back-to-back 1,000-yard receiver, Austin was responsible for 20 touchdowns in his final two years.

Given the potential offensive line issues which have plagued the Steelers since the retirement of Maurkice Pouncey and Co., players who can operate in the short to the intermediate range with proficiency should be top targets for Trubisky and Pickett. This is why second-year TE Pat Freiermuth is a low-end TE1 for fantasy due to the expected volume and his skills in the red zone.

Trubisky’s ADP for 2022

With an ADP of 235, Trubisky is coming off the boards as the QB34 in 1QB formats, placing well outside the range of draftable players in 12-team fantasy leagues. For the sake of comparison, Pickett has an ADP of 234 (QB31).

In PFN’s 2022 fantasy football redraft rankings, Trubisky is nearly identical as the QB31 and 245th overall ranked player. Be sure to check back, as rankings will fluctuate between now and the start of the season.

In 1QB formats, neither Trubisky nor Pickett should be drafted. With only 12 quarterbacks started across the entire league, there is far too much depth and upside to choose from before needing to dip into this portion of the pool. If there is some miraculous metamorphosis and Trubisky is everything the Bears saw in him, by all means, pick him up off waivers. However, even as crazy as the NFL can be, I can only imagine how small the odds are of this happening.

Now, in Superflex leagues, things change. Due to positional scarcity, every starting QB should be drafted. I recommend leaving the draft with three starting QBs, and two inside the top 16 at the position. For one, we need to see who wins the job. However, drafting a QB in a positional battle could end up being a wasted pick if a change happens midseason. I would personally stay away from this situation if I could. If forced, I think I might lean on Pickett’s upside since there is not much to lose.

Fantasy football player outlooks

As fantasy football drafts pick up this weekend, we’ve published detailed fantasy outlooks for more than 115 players, with more to follow this weekend. Search the table below or filter by position and team for more advice so you can win your fantasy football draft! Don’t forget about our Fantasy Football Draft Kit, which is packed with more information and proprietary research.

Player Team Position
A.J. Brown PHI WR
A.J. Green ARI WR
Aaron Jones GB RB
Aaron Rodgers GB QB
Adam Thielen MIN WR
AJ Dillon GB RB
Albert Okwuegbunam DEN TE
Alec Pierce IND WR
Alexander Mattison MIN RB
Allen Lazard GB WR
Allen Robinson LAR WR
Alvin Kamara NO RB
Amari Cooper CLE WR
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR
Antonio Gibson WAS RB
Austin Ekeler LAC RB
Austin Hooper TEN TE
Baker Mayfield CAR QB
Boston Scott PHI RB
Brandin Cooks HOU WR
Brandon Aiyuk SF WR
Braxton Berrios NYJ WR
Breece Hall NYJ RB
Brian Robinson Jr. WAS RB
Bryan Edwards ATL WR
Byron Pringle CHI WR
C.J. Uzomah NYJ TE
Cam Akers LAR RB
Carson Wentz WAS QB
Cedrick Wilson Jr. MIA WR
CeeDee Lamb DAL WR
Chase Claypool PIT WR
Chase Edmonds MIA RB
Chris Godwin TB WR
Chris Olave NO WR
Christian Kirk JAX WR
Christian McCaffrey CAR RB
Christian Watson GB WR
Chuba Hubbard CAR RB
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC RB
Cole Kmet CHI TE
Cooper Kupp LAR WR
Cordarrelle Patterson ATL RB
Corey Davis NYJ WR
Courtland Sutton DEN WR
Curtis Samuel WAS WR
Dak Prescott DAL QB
Dallas Goedert PHI TE
Dalton Schultz DAL TE
Dalvin Cook MIN RB
Dameon Pierce HOU RB
Damien Harris NE RB
Dan Arnold JAX TE
D’Andre Swift DET RB
Daniel Jones NYG QB
Darnell Mooney CHI WR
Darrel Williams ARI RB
Darrell Henderson LAR RB
Darren Waller LV TE
Davante Adams LV WR
David Bell CLE WR
David Montgomery CHI RB
David Njoku CLE TE
Davis Mills HOU QB
Dawson Knox BUF TE
DeAndre Hopkins ARI WR
Deebo Samuel SF WR
Derek Carr LV QB
D’Ernest Johnson CLE RB
Derrick Henry TEN RB
Deshaun Watson CLE QB
DeVante Parker NE WR
Devin Duvernay BAL WR
Devin Singletary BUF RB
DeVonta Smith PHI WR
Diontae Johnson PIT WR
DK Metcalf SEA WR
Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE WR
D’Onta Foreman CAR RB
Drake London ATL WR
Elijah Mitchell SF RB
Elijah Moore NYJ WR
Evan Engram JAX TE
Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB
Gabriel Davis BUF WR
Garrett Wilson NYJ WR
George Kittle SF TE
George Pickens PIT WR
Gerald Everett LAC TE
Gus Edwards BAL RB
Hassan Haskins TEN RB
Hayden Hurst CIN TE
Hunter Henry NE TE
Hunter Renfrow LV WR
Irv Smith Jr. MIN TE
Isaiah McKenzie BUF WR
Isaiah Spiller LAC RB
Isiah Pacheco KC RB
J.D. McKissic WAS RB
J.K. Dobbins BAL RB
Jacoby Brissett CLE QB
Jahan Dotson WAS WR
Jakobi Meyers NE WR
Jalen Hurts PHI QB
Jalen Tolbert DAL WR
Jamaal Williams DET RB
Ja’Marr Chase CIN WR
Jameis Winston NO QB
James Conner ARI RB
James Cook BUF RB
James Robinson JAX RB
Jameson Williams DET WR
Jamison Crowder BUF WR
Jared Goff DET QB
Jarvis Landry NO WR
Javonte Williams DEN RB
Jaylen Waddle MIA WR
Jerick McKinnon KC RB
Jerry Jeudy DEN WR
Joe Burrow CIN QB
Joe Mixon CIN RB
Jonathan Taylor IND RB
Josh Allen BUF QB
Josh Jacobs LV RB
Joshua Palmer LAC WR
JuJu Smith-Schuster KC WR
Julio Jones TB WR
Justin Fields CHI QB
Justin Herbert LAC QB
Justin Jefferson MIN WR
K.J. Osborn MIN WR
Kadarius Toney NYG WR
Kareem Hunt CLE RB
Keaontay Ingram ARI RB
Keenan Allen LAC WR
Kendrick Bourne NE WR
Kenneth Gainwell PHI RB
Kenneth Walker III SEA RB
Kenny Golladay NYG WR
Kenny Pickett PIT QB
Ke’Shawn Vaughn TB RB
Khalil Herbert CHI RB
Kirk Cousins MIN QB
Kyle Pitts ATL TE
Kyler Murray ARI QB
Kyren Williams LAR RB
Lamar Jackson BAL QB
Laviska Shenault Jr. JAX WR
Leonard Fournette TB RB
Logan Thomas WAS TE
Mac Jones NE QB
Marcus Mariota ATL QB
Mark Andrews BAL TE
Mark Ingram NO RB
Marlon Mack IND RB
Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC WR
Marquise Brown ARI WR
Marvin Jones JAX WR
Matt Breida NYG RB
Matt Ryan IND QB
Matthew Stafford LAR QB
Mecole Hardman KC WR
Melvin Gordon DEN RB
Michael Carter NYJ RB
Michael Gallup DAL WR
Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR
Michael Thomas NO WR
Mike Evans TB WR
Mike Gesicki MIA TE
Mike Williams LAC WR
Miles Sanders PHI RB
Mitchell Trubisky PIT QB
Myles Gaskin MIA RB
Najee Harris PIT RB
Nick Chubb CLE RB
Nico Collins HOU WR
Noah Fant SEA TE
Nyheim Hines IND RB
Odell Beckham Jr. LAR WR
Pat Freiermuth PIT TE
Patrick Mahomes KC QB
Rachaad White TB RB
Raheem Mostert MIA RB
Rashaad Penny SEA RB
Rashod Bateman BAL WR
Rex Burkhead HOU RB
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB
Robbie Anderson CAR WR
Robert Tonyan GB TE
Robert Woods TEN WR
Rondale Moore ARI WR
Russell Gage TB WR
Russell Wilson DEN QB
Ryan Tannehill TEN QB
Saquon Barkley NYG RB
Skyy Moore KC WR
Sony Michel MIA RB
Stefon Diggs BUF WR
Sterling Shepard NYG WR
T.J. Hockenson DET TE
Tee Higgins CIN WR
Terry McLaurin WAS WR
Tom Brady TB QB
Tony Pollard DAL RB
Travis Etienne Jr. JAX RB
Travis Kelce KC TE
Trevor Lawrence JAX QB
Trey Lance SF QB
Treylon Burks TEN WR
Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB
Tyler Allgeier ATL RB
Tyler Boyd CIN WR
Tyler Higbee LAR TE
Tyler Lockett SEA WR
Tyreek Hill MIA WR
Tyrion Davis-Price SF RB
Van Jefferson LAR WR
Wan’Dale Robinson NYG WR
Zach Ertz ARI TE
Zach Wilson NYJ QB
Zamir White LV RB

Tommy Garrett is a Fantasy Analyst for Pro Football Network and is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA). You can read all of Tommy’s work here and give him a follow on Twitter: @TommyGarrettPFN.

User Input