Braden’s Best Bets: NFL Week 2

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As we look at Week 2 of the 2023 NFL schedule, there are many fascinating matchups that stand out. We have plenty of games that are true toss ups, when it comes to selecting a winner. Elsewhere, there are some top contenders looking to bounce back after disappointing results in Week 1.

In terms of betting, there are a plethora of intriguing options. This is true of both moneyline and spread picks. How much will teams revert back to the mean, one way or the other, following their Week 1 showing? Plus, a handful of teams have a chance to really help themselves out, while burying other squads into a hole.

Who has the best odds of pulling off a Week 2 upset? Which teams hold betting value to possibly cover handily as a favorite? It is time to list my favorite plays of the week, with my favorite bets for teams with either the moneyline or the spread. To boot, I will also list a few player props that stand out for Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season. Let’s kick it off.

Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

Best Bets: Moneyline

Of course, we are not going to list every team for the moneyline category. It is also important to note that we are looking to list the bets that hold the most potential value out of our given options. With that in mind, here are three teams that I like to win straight up in Week 2, who also hold a fair amount of betting value.

Green Bay Packers: +100 Odds

Admittedly, the Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons is a bit of a toss-up. Green Bay is a largely younger squad that we are still learning about. In the end, I like Jordan Love to navigate his way against Atlanta’s defense better than I do Desmond Ridder against Green Bay’s defense. This could still be a tight game up until the finish. Yet, the Packers provide enough betting value to take them straight up.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -135 Odds

Pretty much everyone pegged the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a low win-total team entering 2023. However, they pulled off the mini upset at Minnesota in Week 1. Baker Mayfield was not too erratic in that contest. Now against the Chicago Bears, he may be the passer with the least amount of pressure when dueling with Justin Fields. Chicago is still figuring things out with new pieces. As tough as it may be to put a lot of faith in the Buccaneers, they have a bit of confidence after Week 1.

Washington Commanders: +150 Odds

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Similar to the Packers and Falcons matchup, Washington at Denver is a bit of a toss-up. The Commanders are challenging to project with a young quarterback and a new offensive play caller. Despite that, they may actually be the better offense entering Sunday. Sam Howell has distributed the ball efficiently. The Washington skill players have the potential to put pressure on the Broncos back seven, which offers questionable depth at best. Moreover, the Commanders defensive line has quite an advantage when attempting to pressure Russell Wilson, due to a weaker Denver offensive line.

Best Bets: Spread

Betting on teams to cover the spread is not always about taking someone who you feel should easily cover, whether that is the favorite or the underdog. However, finding teams that play hard or matchups that have historically been close are key. Finding the number that you believe is possibly too low or too high is also key. You can then thread the needle on either side of the betting odds with whoever you believe holds the better betting value. Here are three teams that offer fair betting value in Week 2 when looking at the spread.

Tennessee Titans: +3 vs Los Angeles Chargers

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A battle of two 0-1 teams in Nashville. Even if they do not win outright, which I believe is not impossible, Tennessee possesses the play style that could put the Chargers in a bind. LA’s defense has struggled mightily for a longer stretch, dating back to last season. If Derrick Henry can offer a vintage performance, the Titans could shorten the game immensely. On the other hand, Tennessee’s tenacious defensive style could result in some indecisiveness from the Chargers offensive unit. The Titans could easily keep this close.

Washington Commanders: +3.5 at Denver Broncos

Besides the reasons listed above, it is difficult to believe that the Broncos can pull away from opponents with a lack of consistent scoring. Even if Washington loses and does not win straight up, it will have to take a multitude of self-inflicted wounds to truly get blown out by Denver.

Pittsburgh Steelers: +2.5 vs Cleveland Browns

A lot of credit is deserving of the Cleveland Browns for their Week 1 showing. At the same time, the Pittsburgh Steelers could not have looked much worse than they did in Week 1. They were facing one of the best teams in the league. Though, Pittsburgh could hardly do anything right. This feels like a classic revert to the mean type of game, on paper. The Steelers will have a chance to bounce back in a division matchup that they have dominated head-to-head, when played in Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, the law of averages says that Cleveland should not have as many bounces go their way in a second consecutive week, so to speak.

Favorite Player Props

Player prop bets can sometimes be tricky to find the perfect betting value. Some star players do not consistently produce at a high clip, especially at the beginning of the season. Nevertheless, here are four player prop bets that I enjoy for the second weekend.

Anthony Richardson: Over 43.5 Rushing Yards

It is hard to expect consistent rushing totals from any quarterback, let alone a rookie quarterback. However, Anthony Richardson totaled a fair amount of carries (10) in Week 1. He was just short of this figure, finishing with 40 rushing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars. If this game is as close as many expect in Houston, the Colts may look for Richardson to provide damage just as often with his legs, as he does with his arm. Additionally, Indianapolis is still dealing with questions at the running back position.

Isiah Pacheco: Over 40.5 Rushing Yards

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Speaking of rushing results against the Jaguars, Isiah Pacheco is another rushing player prop that I enjoy this week. This is a runner that achieves so many yards per carry, due to his violent running style. The Chiefs just need to feed him enough in what could be a higher-scoring game. For what it’s worth, Pacheco more than doubled this figure in both matchups against the Jaguars last year. He had 82 rushing yards against Jacksonville in the regular season. Finally, Pacheco tallied 95 rushing yards against Jacksonville in the Divisional Round playoff game.

Tyler Boyd: Over 35.5 Receiving Yards

Nothing went right for the Bengals offense last week. Joe Burrow threw for a career-low 82 passing yards. Somehow, the dynamic Tee Higgins finished without a single catch on eight total targets. This week, there is one lower figure that I like a specific receiver to top for Cincinnati. Tyler Boyd had a mixed bag against Baltimore in three total contests last year. Nevertheless, I like Boyd to get in a groove this week against the Ravens. With injuries in the Baltimore secondary to Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Williams, I like Boyd to get going and for the Bengals to bounce back.

Romeo Doubs: Over 37.5 Receiving Yards

Romeo Doubs may not have blown anyone away with his yardage total in Week 1. But, he did haul in two receiving touchdowns. More importantly, you could see a clear chemistry developing between Love and Doubs. In what I expect to be a back-and-forth game with possibly a good amount of points, Doubs could top this figure with only a few catches.

Be on the lookout for more FPC NFL betting articles throughout this 2023 NFL season. For more great sports and NFL content, stay tuned to Full Press Coverage.

– Braden Holecek is the Kansas City Chiefs managing editor for Full Press Coverage. He covers the NFL. Like and follow on Follow @ebearcat9// Follow @FPC_Chiefs// and Facebook.

The post Braden’s Best Bets: NFL Week 2 appeared first on Full Press Coverage.

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