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Macy’s: Black & Decker Air Fry Toaster Oven Only $59.99 (Regularly $100) Black Friday Price

Through November 24th or while supplies last, hop on over to Macy’s where they have this Black & Decker Crisp ‘N Bake Air Fry Toaster Oven on sale for only $59.99 (regularly $99.99)! This is their Black Friday Doorbuster Price!

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This toaster oven allows you to use it as an air fryer or a toaster oven. It can hold up to a 12″ pizza or six slices of bread and can bake, broil, toast, warm, air-fry & more. The stainless steel and two-year manufacturer’s warranty make it an even better buy!

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Wilmer Valderrama Is Engaged To Amanda Pacheco After 8 Months Of Dating

Fez from That ’70s Show um, I mean Wilmer Valderrama is engaged to Amanda Pacheco, his girlfriend of eight months. Valderrama announced the news on Instagram on New Year’s Day by posting a picture of himself kneeling down on one knee before Pacheco with a ring in hand. The sentimental moment took place in front of what might possibly be one of the most gorgeous seaside views of all time. He simply wrote for the caption:

Its just us now 01-01-2020

Pacheco also shared the news onto her Instagram page with the same caption on the same day. In addition to the picture of the moment Valderrama presumably popped the question, Pacheco included a close up picture of their interlocked hands featuring her massive tear-drop-shaped engagement ring on a beautiful pav band.

The engagement comes just eight months after the former Yo Momma host and the model were first linked together when paparazzi snapped pictures of them shopping in Los Angeles. A few months after they were spotted, the two started treating fans to mega cute pictures of them looking as in love as ever on their Instagram feeds. And now they’re engaged! What a wild ride love is.

The engagement news comes over three years after Valderrama publicly announced his split from his girlfriend of six years, Demi Lovato.

After almost 6 loving and wonderful years together, we have decided to end our relationship, they wrote in their joint breakup statement, released in June 2016. This was an incredibly difficult decision for both of us, but we have realized more than anything that we are better as best friends. We will always be supportive of one another. Thank you to everyone who has offered us kindness and support over the years

As recently as February 2018, sources close to the couple were reportedly still holding out hope for some sort of a reunion. Theyre extremely close friends but theres always potential they could give a romantic relationship another try, a source reportedly told People at the time.

Now that it’s become clear that the two are not getting back together, fans of Lovato are taking to Twitter to air their many grievances:

ICYMI: The song Yes” they’re all referring to is this ultra romantic song Lovato reportedly wrote for Valderrama back in the day:

Liam Wolfe on YouTube

Luckily, it appears as though Lovato and Valderrama are reportedly still good friends, so hopefully she’s cool with her ex moving on with his life.

Daily Report – Bitcoin and Market Update (August 25 2021) – The Birb Nest

HTF 12H:

Middaily chart is showing very decent bounce off the lows defined by the MTF upside trendline. As long as the candle is not closed yet, the things can change significantly but Id personally expect the close over 48144, which if occurs, adds solid support on the bulls’ side. The MTF trendline anchored at 29.2k lows is still valid and as long as it is valid, the uptrend is safe on its way to 53-58k imo.

There are several aVWAP (anchored Volume Weighted Average Price) trendlines anchored at subsequent swing lows of every bounce on the way up. The result is an average (fair) price of BTCUSD including the most recent declines and following bounces. The supports are as follows: 41.5k, 45861, 48270. If the higher one gets broken, then the one right below stands as valid support. The same case, with the lower levels.

The marked circle areas display every successful retest of the MTF trendline which was followed by a strong bounce.

One significant bullish signal that Id pay the most attention to right now is the bullish crossover of two aVWAPs: the one anchored at the top ATH (showing long term fair average price of bitcoin since ATH) and the one anchored at the final low 21st of July 29.2k (showing medium term fair average price of bitcoin since 21st of July). This bullish crossover stems from the fact that the shorter term (faster) average crossed over the longer term (slower) average. It’s a bullish MTF-HTF signal.

As long as the points above are valid the way described, BTCUSD aims at 53-58k imo.


Volume profile analysis suggests that once the PoC floor at 49k got lost the next support would be VWAP level of 47.8k. We have seen a form of an overthrow/fakeout/bear trap below 47.8k with the low established at 47.1k at the lower “volume shelf” (price level at which the volume spike appeared on the volume profile).

The moving average analysis for MA50 suggests that the short term trend is upwards yet of weak momentum. The low strength can be known by the slope/angle of the mean orientation. Lately, it’s not been straight up aggressively. Instead it’s been losing the steam and the growth angle/rate has not been as high as before August 15th. It tells me that the short term trend has signs of weakness, slowing down, where the bears start pressing more aggressively / distribution intensifies.

At the same time, MA200 (averaged price of bitcoin from the last 200 periods of 4h sessions) suggests very steady and strong uptrend. The MA200 is at 43.2k and that should be the next level of support whenever unexpected FUD news comes in, military conflicts emerge, etc. That would make it 15% drawdown from the peak of 50.5k. It wouldn’t be anything extraordinary for the volatility. Every trader should expect the bigger volatility, the closer to the local/final peak BTCUSD gets.


LTF chart today is also focused on the volume based trendline analysis. Three aVWAPs and each one is anchored at the key market swing. They all display quite narrow range of averages: 48094, 48304, 48720.
For the fact that these averages give quite a narrow range 48094-48720, as long as the price action stays over that zone, the zone can be considered local demand layer.

The longer/slower the average, the more relevant/significant it gets. Hence, the biggest technical importance gets the middle average at 48304 and Id consider this one to work as the main level to watch.

As long as BTCUSD trades over all the three averages, it’s short term uptrend towards the new highs or at least 50k highs retest. Close the day below 48094, or worse – 47.1k, then the next support unlocks at 46k (200-day average) and 43.2k

The ratio is at 0.571 which proves rather insignificant decline in unrealized profit on the market. This suggests that the profit realization has rather not been extraordinary, rather just a casual short-term, natural reaction after heavy pumps.

The market still is in the Belief area, which shows also the sentiment of the crowds on the market. The more money is being left on the table (NUPL increases), the more complacent the crowds get. Peak of an average trader’s certainty that they’re getting lambos on the next day, the closer to the peak BTCUSD gets.

As long as NUPL stays in the green area over 0.5 ratio, it’s decent chance to take some profits off the table.


From the last month’s extreme fear to the extreme fear at 73-79 region on the scale 5 weeks after. That’s how fast the sentiment on the market can shift. The more aggressively the market grows, the more certainty the crowds have and the closer to the local peak the market gets.

When you see average traders getting complacenet and calling you idiots for taking profits after massive run up, the more right it is for you to take profits. For those who longed bitcoin sub 30k or around 33k with me and premium members in the group, it’s wise to keep taking profits. Unrealized profit is no profit.

Also, our free newsletter subscribers can claim their special limited discounted coupons to sign up, prolong, renew the exclusive memberships. If you enjoyed this free report and if want to get in premium programs to join thousands of members who improved their profitability with our help faster, rush yourself a free copy of newsletter and unlock special discounted coupons (40% off combined) before it’s gone.

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Daily Report – Bitcoin and Market Update (August 21 2021) – The Birb Nest

HTF 12H:

The middaily chart is showing two major support areas underneath the current price action of bitcoin. Support zone LFT refers to short-term demand area based on volume-based average price (aVWAP) and it’s 45-47.5k region. The MTF demand zone is given by volume at 40.9-42.5k area and whenever the LTF zone fails to hold, the MTF is the floor expected.

Based on the price action and the pre-breaker candles from mid-high 50000s candles before the crash happened in May, one can confirm that the main levels defining supply are 52.9k and 56k. It aligns well with the daily chart given in my most recent report defining 53-58k supply zone confirmed by volume profile.

The case of BTCUSD is hence simple. Upside continuation towards 53-56k or up to 58k area is expected sooner or later. If local support zone fails to be held, the MTF 40.9-42.5k is the next bounce zone to ladder your bids in.


MTF chart gives closer look into the local context of BTCUSD. Clearly, there are three main local supports that matter: 47k, 44.8k, 41k. The rule Is that when one fails to hold, the one underneath “activates”. This “activation” comes from the psychology of our behaviors. Behavioral finance, the prospect theory causes the technical analysis to be self-fulfilling prophecy in this context as when one support fails, the traders urgently need to find their next reference point, the psychological anchor they will put all their trust at. When there’s no reference point, you feel uncertainty, stress and pain from that. This is typical “away from pain” mechanism behind our cognitive mechanisms.

On the classical technical analysis side, there is a failed chart pattern of a rising wedge in the chart. As the statistics reveal, the failed patterns tend to perform far better than the regular patterns. For this reason, the failed wedge (which was “technically supposed to go down”) indicates higher chances of BTCUSD visiting back 50000s region sooner than later.

There’s an overall FUD going on with FED’s regulations over crypto, Afghanistan tensions and more. This eventually may lead to a potential flash crash with immediate 10-25% dump out of nowhere as a result of sell-the-news triggers for trading algorithms. Before you manage to log in to an exchange, the selloff is complete already. Such flash crash is exactly what could take bitcoin as low as 41k with a very solid buy the dip opportunity.

Again, due to the mean reversion and statistical nature of time series data that price action of BTCUSD is, eventually there will come a retest of 200MA around 41k. Regardless it will stem from a news event drop or an organic price retracement.


The index shows extreme fear at 78 points on the scale. The same people that were extremely scared of 30k breakdown and targetting $10000 for bitcoin, now are fomoing in right into the resistance regions. The sentiment has changed and reversed to the very opposite stage. The same people who sold at 30k are now buying & expecting new ATH (which will come in my opinion, but not immediately).

Remember, crowds are always right in the middle of trend and always wrong at the extremes. If you enjoyed this report, leave a sticker below.

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Daily Report – Bitcoin and Market Update (August 23 2021) – The Birb Nest


Weekly chart is quite simple to me. BTCUSD is showing two major volume-based supports to be 33297 and 41960. The only resistance I can derive of price action from the peak in May, is the resistance cluster 52924-59979 which is where Im expecting local distribution to occur. Im not crossing out a possibility of over throwing ATH 65k before any bigger correction although more likely, the consolidation/triangle pattern is to unfold throughout the next weeks of Q3.

For these reasons, the support is 41960 and resistance approximately is 53k-60k.

Here’s the triangle pattern for reference:


The daily chart shows demand zone between 39.3k and 42.3k based on volume-averaged prices. Supply territory remains at 53-58k, which Im personally targeting as the next area of interest of bears. The closer to the zone BTCUSD gets, the more likely the selloff and retracement are.

For those who engage regularly and read through my reports, webinars, articles, my personal trading channel updates, etc. during the crash time in May 2021, I was telling you about the need to establish lower high somewhere in the 50000s. Almost 4 months later, here we are over 50k levels.

Local throwback towards MA200 is possible at 46k so remember to take some profits as long as we stay over 50k and keep your bids ready in case of local 10-20% corrections.

HTF 12H:

Similarly, middaily chart is showing two main support clusters: LTF 45413-48173 and MTF at 41172-42593. Price action based resistances are 52924 and 56048 and the latter is where I’d expect local top if not over ATH.

We’ve seen +72% recovery so far for BTCUSD and that type of upside volatility usually does NOT come without any sort of correction. Momentum is having large growth space on weekly chart but on 1d, 12h, 4h it’s already heavily overbought. It doesn’t mean immediate drop is coming but rather read that as a warning sign from market that you should actively think of securing profits while it’s soaring.

From my bottom calls where I got so much hatred, salt, toxicity from people, we’re already in 70% profit off the lows. Remember, the more aggressively the crowds are defending their extreme thesis, the closer to the reversal we are.

I still read this entire move up as the first sign of relief since the crash and disbelief 2.0 as I referred to that 2-3 months ago. Uneducated herds still aim for sub 20k giving multiple funny reasons they have no idea about. I’ve seen this pattern many times before with same results. They have got trapped and now are in their psychological denial, afraid to admit their mistakes.


MTF chart represents the said results of failed falling wedge pattern, which are following the expectations I had mentioned before quite well. Failed patterns tend to perform better than the regular patterns in terms of trend longevity and generated returns.
Volume analysis suggests that PoC (Point of Control), the arbitrary point of the volume profile for the last leg up is to be found at 49k. This means that when the control is lost at this level from bulls, the next local target is VWAP level at 47.8k which is quite in alignment with MA50 support at 47.2k. For this reason, where two averages seem to direct at similar levels/zones, one can read it as a support cluster and the entire area between 47.2k and 47.8k should work as a demand / reload zone for the short-term swing traders.

MA200 provides support at 42.1k and will act as definite support in case the 47.2-47.8k zone is lost. There’s rather not much action in between expected so it may be some form of a quick flash crash for 10-20% decline to ensure delusional bears that they’re right for targeting 10k BTCUSD levels (which they’re wrong about for now) and scare again retails giving them flashbacks from 80-day long extreme fear environment in 30-43k range.

The technical nature of the range chart pattern and the measured rule suggest that the expected target of the range breakout is ~55k. That’s where we’re aiming unless we see another round of orchestrated FUD out of nowhere followed by the mentioned news-driven flash crash.


LTF chart displays three main supports level for reference: 50126 (local aVWAP), 49833 (previous high, now support that must hold), 48289. If we see a strong, ugly 4h or 1D candle close below 49833, then next target suggested by volume is 48289, which eventually if lost leads to the mentioned 47k floor and/or 42.1k.

While targeting upwards expansion, most likely to 53-55k zone, it’s worth locking in profits – the more, the closer to the said area BTCUSD gets as that’s where local top is to be expected.

As mentioned before, if we see an actual over throw and weekly close over April’s ATH for BTCUSD, it already will unfold the range and suggest upside continuation towards 90-120k zone. How does it connect with 1h chart? Local sideways movement will have soon its unfolding. If it’s upwards, we get to 53-55k area fast and can expect local throwbacks. If we fail to hold 48289, then low 47000s or even 42.1k should be expected.

In trading and technical analysis, everything is conditional. The upwards trend lasts as long as there’s buyers > sellers advance. If the supply starts taking over the demand in the strength, the trend gets wobbly, vulnerable and more likely to reverse.

The market is a battlefield for bulls and bears. Whoever is stronger, decides about the market direction.

Below 30k on fear climax, I was telling to expect 50000s lower high retest. Now that we’re over 50k, Im saying watch out, take your profits as we go and don’t invest with poor risk/reward. Compare what you can win vs what you can lose.


Crowds are always right in the middle of trend and always wrong at the extremes. Extreme fear on the scale at 79 points so complete polarity change vs last month’s extreme fear of 22.

When it was the most worth buying into extreme fear for weeks / months, now it’s wise to keep locking the profits locally.

As that’s the first sign of relief for retail bulls since the crash, I dont rather expect the market to blow off through ATH right away. I’d rather encourage to see one last round of fearful environment to shake out weak hands (perhaps 42k?) to unlock the liquidity pool for the whale longs / institutions that will take us to the final round of this bull run: 5th wave of Elliot towards 90-120k or higher.

The ratio is at 0.58 with no local signs of divergence (compare with bearish divergence on top). The market for this reason is not showing any symptoms of any major reversal/crash coming. It’s liquidity pool in the building, which later will be used by giga-whales and institutions to dump all their insane profits on the market. The higher NUPL leads, the bigger the crash will eventually be – bear market. Also, kind reminder about tomorrow’s free newsletter coming out where you’ll be able to get special one-time discounted coupons to use for a very limited time to prolong/renew/purchase your exclusive membership with us. I dont need to force anybody to join, I let my 30k bottom calls speak for themselves. Sign up for free newsletter and the coupons are coming your way in tomorrow’s release to your mailbox. Claim your free copy with the link below.

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